HYPER-PARAMETER SELECTION IN BAYESIAN STRUCTURAL EQUATION MODELS
Author(s) -
Kei Hirose,
Shuichi Kawano,
Daisuke Miike,
Sadanori Konishi
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
bulletin of informatics and cybernetics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2435-743X
pISSN - 0286-522X
DOI - 10.5109/25906
Subject(s) - bayesian probability , selection (genetic algorithm) , structural equation modeling , mathematics , statistics , model selection , bayes factor , computational biology , computer science , econometrics , bayesian inference , biology , artificial intelligence
In the structural equation models, the maximum likelihood estimates of error variances can often turn out to be zero or negative. In order to overcome this prob- lem, we take a Bayesian approach by specifying a prior distribution for variances of error variables. Crucial issues in this modeling procedure include the selection of hyper-parameters in the prior distribution. Choosing these parameters can be viewed as a model selection and evaluation problem. We derive a model selection criterion for evaluating a Bayesian structural equation model. Monte Carlo sim- ulations are conducted to investigate the effectiveness of our proposed modeling procedure. A real data example is also given to illustrate our procedure.
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