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Computation of $\mathcal R $ in age-structured epidemiological models with maternal and temporary immunity
Author(s) -
Zhilan Feng,
Qing Kai Han,
Zhipeng Qiu,
Andrew Hill,
John W. Glasser
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
discrete and continuous dynamical systems - b
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.864
H-Index - 53
eISSN - 1553-524X
pISSN - 1531-3492
DOI - 10.3934/dcdsb.2016.21.399
Subject(s) - computation , epidemiology , immunity , medicine , computer science , immunology , immune system , algorithm
For infectious diseases such as pertussis, susceptibility is determined by immunity, which is chronological age-dependent. We consider an age-structured epidemiological model that accounts for both passively acquired maternal antibodies that decay and active immunity that wanes, permitting reinfection. The model is a 6-dimensional system of partial differential equations (PDE). By assuming constant rates within each age-group, the PDE system can be reduced to an ordinary differential equation (ODE) system with aging from one age-group to the next. We derive formulae for the effective reproduction number ℛ and provide their biological interpretation in some special cases. We show that the disease-free equilibrium is stable when ℛ < 1 and unstable if ℛ > 1.

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