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Projecting the course of COVID-19 in Turkey: A probabilistic modeling approach
Author(s) -
Aybar C. Acar,
Ahmet Görkem Er,
Hüseyin Cahit BURDUROĞLU,
Seher Nur Sülkü,
Yeşim Aydın Son,
Levent Akın,
Serhat Ünal
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
turkish journal of medical sciences
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.277
H-Index - 27
eISSN - 1303-6165
pISSN - 1300-0144
DOI - 10.3906/sag-2005-378
Subject(s) - medicine , covid-19 , course (navigation) , probabilistic logic , coronavirus infections , betacoronavirus , virology , artificial intelligence , outbreak , astronomy , infectious disease (medical specialty) , disease , physics , computer science
The COVID-19 pandemic originated in Wuhan, China, in December 2019 and became one of the worst global health crises ever. While struggling with the unknown nature of this novel coronavirus, many researchers and groups attempted to project the progress of the pandemic using empirical or mechanistic models, each one having its drawbacks. The first confirmed cases were announced early in March, and since then, serious containment measures have taken place in Turkey.

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