ANALYZING THE RENT-TO-PRICE RATIO FOR THE HOUSING MARKET AT THE MICRO-SPATIAL SCALE
Author(s) -
Changro Lee,
Keyho Park
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
international journal of strategic property management
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.43
H-Index - 30
eISSN - 1648-9179
pISSN - 1648-715X
DOI - 10.3846/ijspm.2018.1416
Subject(s) - apartment , unit (ring theory) , scale (ratio) , econometrics , floor area ratio , property (philosophy) , bayesian probability , computer science , order (exchange) , laplace's method , economics , mathematics , geography , civil engineering , artificial intelligence , cartography , engineering , finance , philosophy , mathematics education , epistemology
The rent-to-price ratio is one of the popular indicators for monitoring the property market. This study explores micro-scale spatial dynamics of the ratio for houses at the individual property level in Seoul, South Korea. We match the apartment unit sold and the one leased based on the carefully chosen criteria and apply a Bayesian multi-level modeling approach to this matched dataset. We employ the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA) algorithm in order to estimate relevant parameters in the multi-level model. The ratio determinants found in the study include property age, apartment unit area, interest rate, and floor. This study also presents the importance of taking into account the hierarchical structure of apartment units, as well as seasonal and spatial variations when estimating the ratio and predicting future trends in the property market based on the ratio.
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