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Analysing Sovereign Credit Default Swaps of Baltic Countries
Author(s) -
Arvydas Kregždė,
Gediminas Murauskas
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
verslas teorija ir praktika
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.369
H-Index - 17
eISSN - 1822-4202
pISSN - 1648-0627
DOI - 10.3846/btp.2015.551
Subject(s) - credit default swap , granger causality , sovereign credit , economics , sovereignty , monetary economics , business , credit risk , international economics , financial system , econometrics , actuarial science , politics , political science , law
The paper analyses development of the Baltic sovereign CDS market. The level of commonalities and differences in credit risk of the Baltic countries with regard to CDS spreads is investigated. We apply principal component analysis, regression analysis, correlation analysis methods and Granger causality test. Driving forces for changes of CDS spreads in the individual country are established. We discover that the main impact of CDS spread changes arrives from external sources. Our study reveals interdependence between CDS spreads of the Baltic countries and analyses a contagion effect of the change of CDS spreads

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