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STOCHASTIC OPTIMIZATION OF HEURISTIC METHOD RULE TO DETERMINE ASSET ALLOCATION TO RETIREMENT PORTFOLIO / STOCHASTINIS EURISTINIO METODO TAISYKLĖS PENSIJOS PORTFELIO SUDĖČIAI NUSTATYTI OPTIMIZAVIMAS
Author(s) -
Aušra Klimavičienė
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
verslas teorija ir praktika
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.369
H-Index - 17
eISSN - 1822-4202
pISSN - 1648-0627
DOI - 10.3846/btp.2011.10
Subject(s) - asset allocation , portfolio , stochastic investment model , heuristic , asset (computer security) , portfolio optimization , stock (firearms) , mathematical optimization , population , econometrics , actuarial science , economics , stochastic modelling , stochastic optimization , computer science , mathematics , financial economics , engineering , finance , mechanical engineering , demography , computer security , sociology
The article examines the problem of determining asset allocation to sustainable retirement portfolio. The article attempts to apply heuristic method – 100 minus age in stocks rule – to determine asset allocation to sustainable retirement portfolio. Using dynamic stochastic simulation and stochastic optimization techniques the optimization of heuristic method rule is presented and the optimal alternative to "100" is found. Seeking to reflect the stochastic nature of stock and bond returns and the human lifespan, the dynamic stochastic simulation models incorporate both the stochastic returns and the probability of living another year based on Lithuania's population mortality tables. The article presents the new method – adjusted heuristic method – to be used to determine asset allocation to retirement portfolio and highlights its advantages

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