Violation of lockdown norms and peaks in daily number of positive cases to COVID-19 in Italy
Author(s) -
Gabriele Ruiu,
Maria Laura Ruiu
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
emerald open research
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2631-3952
DOI - 10.35241/emeraldopenres.13699.1
Subject(s) - covid-19 , norm (philosophy) , government (linguistics) , outbreak , political science , demography , geography , socioeconomics , sociology , virology , medicine , law , philosophy , linguistics , disease , pathology , infectious disease (medical specialty)
Italy has been the first Western Country to suffer a massive outbreak of COVID-19. Starting from the 11 st of March 2020, the Italian Government approved a series of emergency restrictive measures to limit people’s movement and social contacts. The aim of this short paper is to test if the number of norm-violations (related to people’s movement) might contribute to the peaks of new COVID-19 positives after few days. We show that peaks in the violations of the lockdown norms correspond to peaks in new positive cases about 6 days later.
Accelerating Research
Robert Robinson Avenue,
Oxford Science Park, Oxford
OX4 4GP, United Kingdom
Address
John Eccles HouseRobert Robinson Avenue,
Oxford Science Park, Oxford
OX4 4GP, United Kingdom