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Return and Volatility Transmission Between Oil Prices and Emerging Asian Markets
Author(s) -
Sang Hoon Kang,
윤성민
Publication year - 2013
Publication title -
seoul journal of business
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2713-6213
pISSN - 1226-9816
DOI - 10.35152/snusjb.2013.19.2.003
Subject(s) - futures contract , volatility (finance) , economics , financial economics , oil price , econometrics , bivariate analysis , portfolio , spillover effect , volatility swap , monetary economics , implied volatility , macroeconomics , mathematics , statistics
We investigated return and volatility transmission between oil futures prices and ten Asian emerging indices using a VAR-bivariate GARCH model. We also analyzed the optimal weights and hedge ratios for optimizing portfolios to minimize the exposure to risk associated with oil futures price changes. We found no significant influence of oil futures price returns on Asian stock returns. However, strong volatility spillover was observed from oil futures price shocks and volatility to counterpart volatilities. In addition, optimal weights and hedge ratios suggested that incorporating the oil asset in a well-diversified portfolio effectively hedged the risks associated with oil price volatility.

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