Global Sunspots and Asset Prices in a Monetary Economy
Author(s) -
Roger E. A. Farmer
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
capital markets: asset pricing and valuation ejournal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Reports
DOI - 10.3386/w20831
Subject(s) - sunspot , asset (computer security) , economics , monetary economics , financial system , business , economy , computer science , physics , computer security , quantum mechanics , magnetic field
This paper constructs a simple model in which asset price fluctuations are caused by sunspots. Most existing sunspot models use local linear approximations: instead, I construct global sunspot equilibria. My agents are expected utility maximizers with logarithmic utility functions, there are no fundamental shocks and markets are sequentially complete. Despite the simplicity of these assumptions, I am able to go a considerable way towards explaining features of asset pricing data that have presented an obstacle to previous models that adopted similar assumptions. My model generates volatile persistent swings in asset prices, a substantial term premium for long bonds and bursts of conditional volatility in rates of return.
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