z-logo
open-access-imgOpen Access
Visibility graphs and precursors of stock crashes
Author(s) -
Vladimir Soloviev,
Victoria Solovieva,
Anna Tuliakova
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
neuro-fuzzy modeling techniques in economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2415-3516
pISSN - 2306-3289
DOI - 10.33111/nfmte.2019.003
Subject(s) - visibility , visibility graph , stock (firearms) , computer science , geography , mathematics , meteorology , geometry , archaeology , regular polygon
Based on the network paradigm of complexity, a systematic analysis of the dynamics of the largest stock markets in the world has been carried out in the work. According to the algorithm of the visibility graph, the daily values of stock indices are converted into a network, the spectral and topological properties of which are sensitive to the critical and crisis phenomena of the studied complex systems. It is shown that some of the spectral and topological characteristics can serve as measures of the complexity of the stock market, and their specific behaviour in the pre-crisis period is used as indicators-precursors of crisis phenomena. The influence of globalization processes on the world stock market is taken into account by calculating the interconnection (multiplex) measures of complexity, which modifies in some way, but does not change the fundamentally predictive possibilities of the proposed indicators-precursors.

The content you want is available to Zendy users.

Already have an account? Click here to sign in.
Having issues? You can contact us here
Accelerating Research

Address

John Eccles House
Robert Robinson Avenue,
Oxford Science Park, Oxford
OX4 4GP, United Kingdom