Evaluation of the construction project success with using of neural networks
Author(s) -
Alexey Bulgakow,
Georgii Tokmakov,
Jens Otto,
Katharina Langosch
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
creative construction conference 2018 - proceedings
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Conference proceedings
DOI - 10.3311/ccc2018-007
Subject(s) - artificial neural network , computer science , artificial intelligence
Construction project success is determined in terms of cost, schedule, performance and safety through many events and resultant interactions, plans, facilities and changes in participants and the environment. In the construction industry there are myriad uncertainties that make management exceedingly complex. Factors for success vary from project to project. Human experts can often achieve a satisfactory project outcome, however, shortfalls nearly always occur due to managers failing to take all relevant factors into consideration, in addition to lacking access to all relevant information. Statistical methods represent a basic approach to identifying significant factors from historical data or questionnaire results. However, the dynamic nature of critical factors means that changes in project conditions must be monitored continuously. Artificial intelligence techniques have a wide range of applications, including monitoring and forecasting of long-term projects; their main advantage is the ability to track and predict trends in changing project implementation factors. In this article, the authors describe the structure and algorithm of the neural network for assessing the success of construction projects, taking into account the individual influence of the initial conditions as well as their combined impact. © 2018 The Authors. Published by Diamond Congress Ltd., Budapest University of Technology and Economics Peer-review under responsibility of the scientific committee of the Creative Construction Conference 2018.
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