z-logo
open-access-imgOpen Access
Es könnte auch anders kommen – und das ist gut (Essay)
Author(s) -
Johannes Gabriel
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
schweizerische zeitschrift fur forstwesen
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.189
H-Index - 10
eISSN - 2235-1469
pISSN - 0036-7818
DOI - 10.3188/szf.2018.0184
Subject(s) - futures studies , temporality , curiosity , set (abstract data type) , order (exchange) , epistemology , function (biology) , psychology , economics , philosophy , computer science , social psychology , artificial intelligence , finance , evolutionary biology , biology , programming language
Things could change – and that's good (essay) Thinking about the future means going into paradoxes. The uncertainty about future developments is the cause of curiosity and anxiety. Uncertainty can be seen as a challenge in terms of risk and opportunity. In order to deal with uncertainties in an enlightened, prudent and open-minded manner, we need a good sense of temporality and the interaction of human activities. A multiperspective approach and handling of uncertainties (use of scenarios) allows a complex view of uncertainty and overcomes the myopia of common means of reducing uncertainty, such as forecasts. It is precisely in times of doubt and anxiety about the future that uncertainty should lead us to conceive of the future as something that may be shaped. Foresight as an applied and professional set of skills has the potential, through its communication function, to develop alternative strategies to deal with uncertainties.

The content you want is available to Zendy users.

Already have an account? Click here to sign in.
Having issues? You can contact us here
Accelerating Research

Address

John Eccles House
Robert Robinson Avenue,
Oxford Science Park, Oxford
OX4 4GP, United Kingdom