Mirror-Imaging. Un sesgo cognitivo en el análisis de inteligencia

espanolTradicionalmente se ha considerado el mirror-imaging como un fenomeno cultural que afecta tanto al analisis de inteligencia como al proceso de toma de decisiones. Esta perspectiva obvia a menudo los aspectos psicologicos del fenomeno y restringe su estudio al analisis de la influencia que ha tenido en la ocurrencia de numerosos fallos y errores de importantes consecuencias para la seguridad y estabilidad del mundo occidental. En este trabajo partimos de la consideracion del mirror-imaging como un sesgo cognitivo que afecta a la interpretacion y analisis de informacion. Ello nos permite analizar, desde un punto de vista psicologico, su mecanismo de actuacion, sus rasgos y caracteristicas definitorias, asi como su etiologia y la influencia que determinados factores tienen en su aparicion. Este enfoque psicologico permite ademas un abordaje holistico de la prevencion del mirror-imaging, centrandonos no solo en la mejora de los aspectos tecnicos del proceso analitico, sino sobre todo en el fomento de la adquisicion y aplicacion de destrezas y habilidades personales al analisis de inteligencia. EnglishTraditionally, mirror-imaging has been considered as a cultural phenomenon that affects both the intelligence analysis and the decision-making process. This perspective often puts aside the psychological aspects of the phenomenon and restricts its study to the analysis of its influence on numerous failures and errors as well as its important consequences for the security and stability of the Western world. In this article I start considering the mirror-imaging as a cognitive bias that affects the interpretation and analysis of information. This allows to analyse, from a psychological point of view, its mechanism of action, its traits and defining characteristics, as well as its etiology and the influence that certain factors have in its appearance. This psychological approach also allows a holistic approach to the prevention of the mirror-imaging, focusing not only on the improvement of the technical aspects of the analytical process, but especially on the promotion of the acquisition and application of personal skills and abilities to the intelligence analysis.