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Tariffs and the Composition of Employment: Evidence from the Canada–US Free Trade Agreement
Author(s) -
Jeff Chan
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
canadian public policy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.397
H-Index - 33
eISSN - 1911-9917
pISSN - 0317-0861
DOI - 10.3138/cpp.2018-080
Subject(s) - tariff , openness to experience , census , immigration , free trade agreement , free trade , economics , demographic economics , international economics , composition (language) , affect (linguistics) , labour economics , geography , demography , population , psychology , social psychology , linguistics , philosophy , archaeology , sociology
I analyze the effect of the Canada–US Free Trade Agreement (CUSFTA) on the composition of employment at the local labour market level in Canada. I construct local labour-market-level changes in tariffs for both exports and imports, exploiting regional differences in pre-CUSFTA industrial composition to obtain variation in the degree to which CUSFTA affected localities across Canada. I find that Census Divisions (CDs) that experienced larger Canadian tariff cuts against US imports experienced higher rates of self-employment. CDs with larger American tariff cuts against Canadian goods correspondingly experienced lower rates of self-employment. These self-employment effects are dampened in CDs with higher initial shares of educated people, immigrants, and female workers. I do not find any evidence that part-time employment is affected by CUSFTA tariff cuts. The findings in this article provide evidence that increasing trade openness between two developed countries can affect the prevalence of self-employment.

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