New Estimates of Undocumented Mexican Migration and the Probability of Apprehension
Author(s) -
Douglas S. Massey,
Audrey Singer
Publication year - 1995
Publication title -
demography
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.099
H-Index - 129
eISSN - 1533-7790
pISSN - 0070-3370
DOI - 10.2307/2061740
Subject(s) - apprehension , econometrics , inflow , geography , statistics , net migration rate , demographic economics , demography , mathematics , population , economics , psychology , sociology , population growth , meteorology , cognitive psychology
Using a new source of data, we estimate the probability of apprehension among Mexican migrants attempting to cross into the United States without documents. Over the period 1965-1989 we found an average apprehension probability of .35, confirming earlier estimates. We then applied annual probabilities to estimate the gross volume of undocumented Mexican migration and adjusted these figures to derive estimates of the net undocumented inflow.
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