Use of a fertility simulation model to refine measurement techniques
Author(s) -
John C. Barrett
Publication year - 1971
Publication title -
demography
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.099
H-Index - 129
eISSN - 1533-7790
pISSN - 0070-3370
DOI - 10.2307/2060684
Subject(s) - fertility , sterility , monte carlo method , demography , human fertility , estimation , statistics , human reproduction , population , econometrics , computer science , biology , mathematics , engineering , genetics , systems engineering , sociology
A stochastic model involving the recurrent events (births, foetal deaths, etc.) associated with human reproduction is defined. Its simulation by means of a Monte Carlo program is described. The model is used to investigate the role of chance in producing biases in certain demographic measurements, particularly as regards the estimation of sterility, foetal death and stillbirth ratios, and birth intervals.
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