Sensitivity of stock market indices to oil prices: Evidence from manufacturing sub-sectors in Turkey
Author(s) -
Halil Eksi,
Mehmet Şentürk,
Semih Yildirim
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
panoeconomicus
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.289
H-Index - 14
eISSN - 2217-2386
pISSN - 1452-595X
DOI - 10.2298/pan1204463e
Subject(s) - manufacturing sector , crude oil , petroleum , oil price , econometrics , economics , turkish , stock (firearms) , error correction model , petroleum product , stock market , manufacturing , causality (physics) , brent crude , cointegration , monetary economics , business , macroeconomics , chemistry , petroleum engineering , engineering , biology , paleontology , mechanical engineering , philosophy , linguistics , horse , marketing , quantum mechanics , physics , organic chemistry
Crude oil price is a critical cost factor for manufacturing industries that are of vital importance for economic growth. This study examines the relationship between crude oil prices and the indices of seven Turkish manufacturing sub-sectors over the period 1997:01-2009:12. The error correction model results reveal the long term causality from crude oil prices to chemical petroleum-plastic and basic metal sub-sectors indicating that these sub-sectors are highly sensitive to crude oil prices. We find no causal relationship for other sector indices for short or long time periods
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