Modeling of motor fuel consumption in Serbia, with projection to 2025 | Zendy

Dalibor Marinković | Zendy; Popović Zoran | Zendy; Aleksandar Orlović | Zendy; Mirjana Ristić | Zendy

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Modeling of motor fuel consumption in Serbia, with projection to 2025

Author(s) -

Dalibor Marinković,

Popović Zoran,

Aleksandar Orlović,

Mirjana Ristić

Publication year - 2011

Publication title -

hemijska industrija

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.147

H-Index - 19

eISSN - 2217-7426

pISSN - 0367-598X

DOI - 10.2298/hemind110224105m

Subject(s) - motor fuel , diesel fuel , fuel efficiency , consumption (sociology) , per capita , gasoline , liquefied petroleum gas , gross domestic product , automotive industry , petroleum product , economics , environmental science , automotive engineering , agricultural economics , petroleum , engineering , waste management , economic growth , chemistry , social science , population , demography , organic chemistry , aerospace engineering , sociology

This study is based on the application of mathematical methods of statistical analysis that can be used to predict the development of motor fuel consumption in the Republic of Serbia. It is based on the linear dependence of consumption growth of motor fuel from the development of gross domestic product per capita, which is then corrected by introducing five additional influencing parameters. The model results indicate that the total consumption of motor fuels in Serbia from 2010 to 2025 will be increased by 26.5%. Individual consumption of motor fuels shows different market tendencies. Diesel fuel consumption expects to continue intensive growth to 2025, even though slightly slower than the achievements in the last decade. The current trend of declining demand for gasoline will be stopped from 2014-2015, then followed by slow growth of demand by 2025. Consumption of liquefied petroleum gasses (LPG) will at about 2014 to enter the phase of saturation

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