ASSESSMENT OF THE DEGREE OF FITTING THE TRANSPORT POTENTIAL OF THE TRANSPORTATION COMPANY TO A RANDOM DEMAND FOR TRANSPORT SERVICES

Will be considered transport company exploiting the uniform in the sense of destination, means of transport such as tankers, wi th a total transport potential equal to a loading units (e.g. tones). The company operates in the transport market, where demand for transport services is random. The problem of fi tting the transport potential of a transport company to the demand for such services i s formulated. As measure of this fit assumes that the probability of a firm's transport potential is not being exceeded by demand over the given time horizon. Practically use f l formulas for estimating such probability for cases where demand for transport se rvic s is described by stationary and non-stationary normal stochastic processes. The res ults are illustrated by numerical examples.