Physical security and vulnerability modeling for infrasturcture facilities.
Author(s) -
Linda K. Nozick,
Dean A. Jones,
Chad E. Davis,
Mark A. Turnquist
Publication year - 2006
Publication title -
osti oai (u.s. department of energy office of scientific and technical information)
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Reports
DOI - 10.2172/893151
Subject(s) - computer security , imperfect , vulnerability (computing) , computer science , representation (politics) , perfect information , physical security , explosive material , airplane , risk analysis (engineering) , operations research , engineering , business , geography , philosophy , linguistics , mathematics , mathematical economics , aerospace engineering , politics , political science , law , archaeology
A model of malicious intrusions in infrastructure facilities is developed, using a network representation of the system structure together with Markov models of intruder progress and strategy. This structure provides an explicit mechanism to estimate the probability of successful breaches of physical security, and to evaluate potential improvements. Simulation is used to analyze varying levels of imperfect information on the part of the intruders in planning their attacks. An example of an intruder attempting to place an explosive device on an airplane at an airport gate illustrates the structure and potential application of the model
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