Risk assessment of climate systems for national security.
Author(s) -
George Backus,
M. B. Boslough,
Theresa J. Brown,
Ximing Cai,
Stephen Conrad,
Paul G. Constantine,
Keith Dalbey,
Bert Debusschere,
Richard Fields,
David Hart,
Elena Arkadievna Kalinina,
Alan Kerstein,
Michael N. Levy,
Thomas Martin Lowry,
Leonard Malczynski,
Habib N. Najm,
James Overfelt,
Mancel Parks,
William Peplinski,
Cosmin Safta,
Khachik Sargsyan,
William A. Stubblefield,
Mark A. Taylor,
Vincent Tidwell,
T.G. Trucano,
Daniel Villa
Publication year - 2012
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Reports
DOI - 10.2172/1088102
Subject(s) - national security , climate change , environmental science , tornado , environmental resource management , arctic , risk assessment , flooding (psychology) , water security , storm , business , meteorology , geography , computer science , water resources , political science , geology , computer security , ecology , psychology , oceanography , law , psychotherapist , biology
Climate change, through drought, flooding, storms, heat waves, and melting Arctic ice, affects the production and flow of resource within and among geographical regions. The interactions among governments, populations, and sectors of the economy require integrated assessment based on risk, through uncertainty quantification (UQ). This project evaluated the capabilities with Sandia National Laboratories to perform such integrated analyses, as they relate to (inter)national security. The combining of the UQ results from climate models with hydrological and economic/infrastructure impact modeling appears to offer the best capability for national security risk assessments.
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