Multi-station artificial intelligence based ensemble modeling of suspended sediment load
Author(s) -
Vahid Nourani,
Ali Kheiri,
Nazanin Behfar
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
water science and technology water supply
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.318
H-Index - 39
eISSN - 1607-0798
pISSN - 1606-9749
DOI - 10.2166/ws.2021.243
Subject(s) - artificial neural network , ensemble forecasting , computer science , ensemble learning , support vector machine , adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system , artificial intelligence , inference system , data mining , machine learning , fuzzy logic , fuzzy control system
In this study, Artificial Intelligence (AI) models along with ensemble techniques were employed for predicting suspended sediment load (SSL) via single station and multi-station scenarios. Feed Forward Neural Networks (FFNNs), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and Support Vector Regression (SVR) were the employed AI models, and simple averaging (SA), weighted averaging (WA), and neural averaging (NA) were the ensemble techniques developed for combining the outputs of the individual AI models to gain more accurate estimations of the SSL. For this purpose, twenty-year observed streamflow and SSL data of three gauging stations, located in the Missouri and Upper Mississippi regions were utilized at both daily and monthly scales. The obtained results of both scenarios indicated the supremacy of ensemble techniques to single AI models. The neural ensemble demonstrated more reliable performance compared to other ensemble techniques. For instance, in the first scenario, the ensemble technique increased the predicted results up to 20% in the verification phase of the daily and monthly modeling and up to 5 and 8%, respectively, in the verification step of the second scenario.
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