Impact of climate change on the blue water footprint of agriculture on a regional scale
Author(s) -
Huiping Huang,
Yuping Han,
Dongdong Jia
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
water science and technology water supply
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.318
H-Index - 39
eISSN - 1607-0798
pISSN - 1606-9749
DOI - 10.2166/ws.2018.046
Subject(s) - climate change , environmental science , agriculture , footprint , representative concentration pathways , scale (ratio) , china , wind speed , climatology , water use , physical geography , geography , climate model , meteorology , geology , cartography , ecology , oceanography , archaeology , biology
In the case study of Tangshan city, Hebei Province, China, this paper analyzes temporal change of blue agricultural water footprint (WF) during 1991–2016 and discusses the applicability of different climate change models during 2017–2050. Results show effective rainfall, wind speed and maximum temperature are leading factors influencing the blue agricultural WF. Relative error analysis indicates that the HadGEM2-ES model is the most applicable for climate change projections in the period of 2017–2050. Agricultural blue WF is about 1.8 billion m 3 in RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios which is almost the same equal to the average value during 1991–2016.
Accelerating Research
Robert Robinson Avenue,
Oxford Science Park, Oxford
OX4 4GP, United Kingdom
Address
John Eccles HouseRobert Robinson Avenue,
Oxford Science Park, Oxford
OX4 4GP, United Kingdom