A simulation impact evaluation of social-economic development on water resource use | Zendy

Wenyi Wang | Zendy; Weihua Zeng | Zendy; Bo Yao | Zendy; Jing Wei | Zendy

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A simulation impact evaluation of social-economic development on water resource use

Author(s) -

Wenyi Wang,

Weihua Zeng,

Bo Yao,

Jing Wei

Publication year - 2014

Publication title -

journal of water reuse and desalination

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.548

H-Index - 16

eISSN - 2408-9370

pISSN - 2220-1319

DOI - 10.2166/wrd.2014.050

Subject(s) - resource (disambiguation) , integrated water resources management , water scarcity , water resources , natural resource economics , population , business , population growth , economic shortage , water supply , economics , environmental planning , engineering , environmental engineering , environmental science , ecology , computer network , linguistics , philosophy , demography , sociology , government (linguistics) , computer science , biology

Due to the fast growth of the economy and population, the water scarcity issue has aroused widespread critical concern. In fact, reasonable structure, adaptive patterns and effective regulation of the economy, society and water resources can bring a harmonious future. Therefore, the study of how to balance economic social growth and water resources is of great importance. A model of the water resource, society and economy system of the Tongzhou district was designed by Stella. The model established here attempts to analyze future trends in social-economic development and the impact of the economic and population growth on water use in the Tongzhou district under three scenarios. The results reveal that the water shortage is very serious. If the current trends persist, the existing water supply will not be able to meet the water demand in the future. Tongzhou district9s water shortage will be 162.50 million m 3 in 2020 under the business-as-usual scenario. Therefore, it is necessary to develop unconventional water sources and improve the water-saving capacity of production and life to alleviate the water tensions. This research offers insight into larger questions regarding economic growth and water resource management in general.

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