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Simulation and forecasting of runoff play an important role in the early warning and prevention of drought and flood disasters. To improve the accuracy of spring runoff simulations, it is important to identify spring runoff production patterns under the combined effect of snow and frozen soil. Based on the theory of the hydrological cycle, three important parameters, which include surface and subsurface runoff, precipitation and temperature, were selected for this study. The trend analysis, statistical analysis and Eckhardt's recursive numerical filtering method were used to qualitatively identify the production patterns of spring runoff, the start and end dates and stage periods of the production patterns. Based on the qualitative identification results, the contribution of each production runoff to the total annual runoff and the total annual spring runoff is quantitatively assessed. The results of the study show that the spring runoff production patterns in the Second Songhua River Basin can be divided into snowmelt runoff, frozen soil conditions of snowmelt–rainfall runoff and rainfall runoff under frozen soil conditions; the snowmelt production is from 21 March, the frozen soil conditions production is from 21 April and the frozen soil ablation ended on 15 June; the shortest phases of each production pattern last 28, 20 and 18 days and the longest last 31, 26 and 24 days. This research provides the basis for improving the principles of production runoff calculation in spring runoff simulation methods.

journal of water and climate change

Method to identify composition and production phases of spring runoff in high-latitude mid-temperate regions: a case study in the Second Songhua River Basin, China