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Devolution of the Fisher Equation: Rational Appreciation to Money Illusion
Author(s) -
James R. Rhodes
Publication year - 2008
Publication title -
ssrn electronic journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 1556-5068
DOI - 10.2139/ssrn.907264
Subject(s) - illusion , devolution (biology) , fisher equation , mathematical economics , economics , econometrics , political science , mathematics , law and economics , keynesian economics , psychology , sociology , cognitive psychology , monetary policy , real interest rate , anthropology , human evolution
In Appreciation and Interest Irving Fisher (1896) derived an equation connecting interest rates in any two standards of value. The original Fisher equation (OFE) was expressed in terms of the expected appreciation of money [percent change in E(1/P)] whereas the ubiquitous conventional Fisher equation (CFE) uses expected goods inflation [percent change in E(P)]. Since Jensen?s inequality implies the non-equivalence of the two equations, the OFE is not subject to standard criticisms of non-rationality leveled against the CFE. The puzzling substitution of inflation for expected money appreciation in Fisher (1930) is resolved by taking into account Fisher's theory of “money illusion.”

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