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Identifying Statistical Arbitrage in Interest Rate Markets: A Genetic Algorithm Approach
Author(s) -
Thiago Ramos-Almeida,
Juan Arismendi Zambrano,
Juan C. Reboredo,
Miguel Angel Rivera Castro
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
ssrn electronic journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 1556-5068
DOI - 10.2139/ssrn.3654219
Subject(s) - arbitrage , statistical arbitrage , algorithm , interest rate , econometrics , financial economics , economics , computer science , actuarial science , risk arbitrage , finance , arbitrage pricing theory , capital asset pricing model
In this paper a multidimensional term structure model is used to find statistical arbitrage opportunities in the interest rates derivatives market. The implied volatility of the model is calibrated by using a genetic algorithm optimization method. Two different options over the same underlying interest rate asset are tested, using data from a weak efficient economy market. The results show that there is no systematic mis-pricing between these two options, but temporary arbitrage opportunities perceptible to the average informed trader are possible.

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