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Risks and Returns of Cryptocurrency
Author(s) -
Yukun Liu,
Aleh Tsyvinski
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
ssrn electronic journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 1556-5068
DOI - 10.2139/ssrn.3226952
Subject(s) - cryptocurrency , stock (firearms) , economics , china , stock market , monetary economics , financial economics , econometrics , business , geography , computer science , computer security , context (archaeology) , archaeology
We establish that the risk-return tradeoff of cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum) is distinct from those of stocks, currencies, and precious metals. Cryptocurrencies have no exposure to most common stock market and macroeconomic factors or to the returns of currencies and commodities. In contrast, we show that the cryptocurrency returns can be predicted by factors which are specific to cryptocurrency markets – there is a strong time-series momentum effect and proxies for investor attention strongly forecast cryptocurrency returns. Finally, we create an index of exposures to cryptocurrencies of 354 industries in the US and 137 industries in China.

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