A Real-Time Data Set for Macroeconomists: Does Data Vintage Matter for Forecasting?
Author(s) -
Dean Croushore,
Tom Stark
Publication year - 2000
Publication title -
ssrn electronic journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 1556-5068
DOI - 10.2139/ssrn.244554
Subject(s) - vintage , data set , set (abstract data type) , data science , economics , econometrics , computer science , artificial intelligence , history , archaeology , programming language
This paper describes a real-time data set for macroeconomists that can be used for a variety of purposes, including forecast evaluation. The data set consists of quarterly vintages, or snapshots, of the major macroeconomic data available at quarterly intervals in real time. The paper explains the construction of the data set, examines the properties of several of the variables in the data set across vintages, and provides an example showing how data revisions can affect forecasts.
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