Risk Neutral Option Pricing with Neither Dynamic Hedging Nor Complete Markets: A Measure-Theoretic Proof
Author(s) -
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
ssrn electronic journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 1556-5068
DOI - 10.2139/ssrn.2435916
Subject(s) - measure (data warehouse) , economics , econometrics , risk neutral measure , financial economics , mathematical economics , mathematics , computer science , data mining
Proof that under simple assumptions, such as constraints of Put-Call Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the mean derived from the forward price which can, but does not have to be the risk-neutral one, under any general probability distribution, bypassing the Black-Scholes-Merton dynamic hedging argument, and without the requirement of complete markets. We confirm that the heuristics used by traders for centuries are both more robust, more consistent, and more rigorous than held in the economics literature.u0000
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