ESPC-2 Operational Implementation and Validation of the Coupled System

: A fully coupled global atmosphere/ocean/ice/wave/land prediction system providing daily predictions out to 10 days and weekly predictions out to 30 days. The first objective is designing the infrastructure for operational implementation of the fully coupled global system. This design includes scoping the system to fit within the constraints of the operational centers. These constraints include both computational and manpower resources. Determination of the run cycle will take into account the three main forecasts (10-day deterministic, 30-day deterministic and 90-day probabilistic) with data assimilation for the different components to be considered. Data streams, inputs and post-processing also will be considered. The second objective is the validation of the three primary forecasts. The validation will be conducted relative to traditional metrics that have been used in prior transitions of individual ESPC components. In addition, the ESPC forecasts will be validated against the ESPC demonstration goals.