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Behavioral trading strategies and investor sentiment: Empirical research in Tehran stock exchange (TSE)
Author(s) -
K Mehrani,
Fereydoon Rahnamay Roodposhti,
Hashem Nekomaram,
Ali Saeedi
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
indonesian capital market review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2356-3818
pISSN - 1979-8997
DOI - 10.21002/icmr.v8i2.5708
Subject(s) - contrarian , pessimism , economics , econometrics , financial economics , volatility (finance) , optimism , momentum (technical analysis) , emerging markets , portfolio , efficient market hypothesis , trading strategy , behavioral economics , stock exchange , market sentiment , stock market , stock (firearms) , psychology , finance , mechanical engineering , social psychology , paleontology , philosophy , epistemology , horse , engineering , biology
In this study, we analyze contrarian and momentum strategies in periods associated with optimism or pessimism, and we compare them to the normal market sentiment condition. We evaluate the sentiment using the Arms adjusted index. Then, using the vector autoregressive test, we analyze the relationships among sentiment, stock returns, excess returns, and volatility. The results show that the formation of a short-term portfolio in one- and three-month periods of optimism and pessimism do not create additional returns and results in losses. In addition, the outcomes indicate that combining normal market sentiment with behavioral finance strategies increases performances, with more significant results seen using contrarian strategies compared to momentum strategies .

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