Some aspects of modeling in the planning and analysis of development

The development of solutions, the selection of technologies to ensure the target levels of production and recovery of reserves require a reliable basis for research – qualitative data and adequate models that have acceptable predictive power. At the same time, the choice of approaches and tools for solving practical problems of development management should depend on the characteristics of the associated processes that determine the requirements for the result, resource constraints, the complexity of the description of the control object, and so on. The authors of the article offer a review of the experience of applying the hierarchy of models within the technological chain of substantiation of operational decisions on the selection of geological and technical measures. The use of different-level models in the context under consideration makes it possible to obtain reliable estimates of the effects of activities in conditions of time-bound and labor-intensive constraints allocated to the solution of the problem.