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Misperceptions of feedbacks and the resilience of common-pool resource systems: a discussion for irrigation systems based on loop dominance analysis
Author(s) -
Newton Paulo Bueno
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
international journal of the commons
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 1875-0281
DOI - 10.18352/ijc.388
Subject(s) - dominance (genetics) , resilience (materials science) , psychological resilience , irrigation , warning system , corporate governance , computer science , resource (disambiguation) , environmental resource management , economics , environmental economics , risk analysis (engineering) , control theory (sociology) , ecology , business , control (management) , psychology , social psychology , telecommunications , biology , biochemistry , physics , computer network , finance , artificial intelligence , gene , thermodynamics
The paper proposes that irrigation schemes may be less resilient to environmental shocks than generally believed in the common-pool governance literature, because they are subject to positive feedback effects which may be not perceived for users timely. It builds on system dynamics literature to form a procedure to assess if the system is about to be locked into downward trajectories of loss of resilience. It concludes by suggesting that the basic ideas presented might be useful to build operational early warning signal for critical transitions not only in irrigation systems but in a wider range of systems where tipping points are suspected to exist.

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