TURİZM GELİRLERİNE YÖNELİK BİR YAKINSAMA ANALİZİ

Bu calismanin amaci, Turkiye’nin uluslararasi turizm sektorunde hem en yakin rakipleri olan hem de Turkiye’nin de icerisinde yer aldigi dunyanin en gelismis dokuz turizm ekonomisi ile Turkiye arasinda herhangi bir yakinsama surecinin olup olmadigini arastirmak ve turizm ekonomisi anlaminda turizm-yakinsama iliskisini ortaya koymaktir. Bu baglamda; 1995-2009 donemini kapsayan bir panel veri seti olusturulmus ve soz konusu ulkelerin turist sayisi basina dusen turizm gelirlerinin yakinsamasi Panel Birim Kok analizi kapsaminda sinanmaya calisilmistir. Yapilan analizler sonucunda Turkiye’nin diger ulkelerle olan yakinsama surecinin reddedilemedigi, buna karsin bireysel birim kok sureci dikkate alindiginda, test tekniklerine gore ufak farkliliklar gosterse de genel anlamda Turkiye’nin ABD, Fransa, Ispanya ve Cin ile yakinsama sureci icerisinde oldugunun reddedilemedigi sonucuna ulasilmistir. Anahtar Kelimeler: Yakinsama Hipotezi, Turizm Gelirleri, Panel Veri Analizi JEL Siniflandirmasi: L83, E00, C23 CONVERGENCE ANALYSIS FOR THE TOURISM RECEIPT Abstract The aim of this study is to examine whether there is a convergence relationship process or not between Turkey, one of the ten most developed tourism economies in the world, and other nine tourism economies which are also Turkey’s major competitors in international tourism sector and to reveal the relationship between tourism and convergence in terms of tourism economy. In this respect, this study forms a panel data set for the term 1995-2009 and tests the convergence of subject countries international tourism receipts per international visitor arrivals within the framework of Panel Unit Root Analysis. Results of the analysis show that it is not possible to deny the convergence process between Turkey and the subject countries concerning the common unit root process. Despite the minor differences occurred due to different test techniques, when the individual unit root process is considered, it is concluded that it is not possible to deny Turkey’s general convergence process with USA, France, Spain and China. Keywords: Convergence Hypothesis, Tourism Receipts, Panel Data Analysis JEL Classification: L83, E00, C23