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Much of the foothill and valley areas of coastal southern California are covered by stands of non-native grasses with occasional scattered patches of native bunch grasses. For decades, the dominant view held that these native bunchgrasses, particularly Stipa pulchra, once covered these lands and that grazing practices were a key cause of their decline. The so-called bunchgrass dominant paradigm (BDP) put forth by Clements influenced thinking on grassland ecology and biogeography for decades until it was discredited. Recent research suggests that grazing and related disturbances might have supported native bunchgrasses, but results are mixed and most studies cover only a short time frame. This research uses a long-term, repeat study design to analyze and compare data from three surveys of 15 permanent quadrats in La Jolla Valley, California, to determine changes in grassland cover over 34 years. A unique aspect of the study is that the site was selected by researchers precisely because it contained excellent ‘relic’ stands of Stipa pulchra (in accordance with the BDP) and the baseline study was conducted shortly after the area was released from grazing and placed under conservation management. We compared data on species frequency and percent cover collected using the same sampling routine for three periods: 1981, 1994, and 2015, to document the shifts in vegetation. We found that native grass cover decreased dramatically (especially on the valley floor), exotic grass cover fluctuated widely over time, while both native and exotic forb cover increased over time. The findings support the notion that prior grazing management practices may have supported the former stands of Stipa pulchra.

Where Have the Native Grasses Gone?: What a Long-Term, Repeat Study Can Tell Us about California’s Native Prairie Landscapes