Author’s Concept of Theoretical Justification Areas of Counter-terrorism. Economical based Logical-mathematical Models

In this article, the authors examine how to use logical and mathematical models (by the example of the balance model and the two-factor Altman’s model), to estimate the potential of a terrorist threat that is determined as a complex concept which reflects the state of terror among the various microenvironment and macroenvironment levels. These levels are obtained by extrapolating the existing economic methods for the purposes of theoretical justification of counter-terrorism areas.The article is recommended for social engineers in order to developcounter-terrorism’s ways. The purpose of this study is to present the author's concept of identifying areas to prevent the terrorist threat based on the extrapolation of existing economic models. To achieve this purpose, the following tasks were accomplished: 1) present the authors' definition of potential terrorist threats; 2) form balance models of the terrorist threat of the medium micro and macro level; 3) demonstrate the way of using these balance models, where the informational basis is to assess the potential terrorist threat and study areas of counterterrorism. The following general scientific methods of study were used: analysis, synthesis, comparison, generalization. And also, specific methods of economic analysis: balance generalization, methods of rating evaluation, methods of complex probability assessment of the insolvency of the study subject. The obtained results can be used by the executive authorities and law enforcement agencies for the purpose of increasing the effectiveness of the fight against terrorism. © 2017 Published by Future Academy www.FutureAcademy.org.uk