Smooth Models of Biological Populations | Zendy

E.V. Lobanova | Zendy; N.B. Medvedeva | Zendy

AI Assistant Blog Pricing

Home ZAIA Blog

Open Access

Smooth Models of Biological Populations

Author(s) -

E.V. Lobanova,

N.B. Medvedeva

Publication year - 2014

Publication title -

bulletin of the south ural state university series mathematical modelling programming and computer software

Language(s) - Uncategorized

Resource type - Journals

eISSN - 2308-0256

pISSN - 2071-0216

DOI - 10.14529/mmp140205

Subject(s) - geography , evolutionary biology , biology

Ïðåäëîæåí ìåòîä ïîñòðîåíèÿ ìîäåëåé, âûðàæàþùèõ ÷èñëåííîñòü áèîëîãè÷åñêèõ ïîïóëÿöèé, íà îñíîâå âðåìåííûõ ðÿäîâ. Íà ïåðâîì ýòàïå ñòðîèòñÿ ñãëàæåííûé íàáîð ýìïèðè÷åñêèõ äàííûõ, êîòîðûé îòðàæàåò îáùèå ÷åðòû ðåàëüíîãî âðåìåííîãî ðÿäà. Ýòî äîñòèãàåòñÿ ïîñðåäñòâîì ïîñòðîåíèÿ îïòèìèçàöèîííîãî ñïëàéíà êóñî÷íîïîëèíîìèàëüíîé ôóíêöèè, èìåþùåé ìèíèìàëüíîå îòêëîíåíèå îò ýìïèðè÷åñêèõ äàííûõ ïî ìåòîäó íàèìåíüøèõ êâàäðàòîâ. Äàëåå ñòðîèòñÿ ñèñòåìà äèôôåðåíöèàëüíûõ óðàâíåíèé, ïðàâàÿ ÷àñòü êîòîðîé èìååò íàèìåíüøåå îòêëîíåíèå ïî ìåòîäó íàèìåíüøèõ êâàäðàòîâ îò ïðîèçâîäíîé îïòèìèçàöèîííîãî ñïëàéíà íà íåêîòîðîé áîëåå ÷àñòîé ñåòêå. Ðåøåíèå çàäà÷è Êîøè äëÿ ïîñòðîåííîé ñèñòåìû íà òåñòîâîì ïðîìåæóòêå âðåìåíè áåðåòñÿ â êà÷åñòâå ïðîãíîçà ìîäåëè. Ìåòîä ïðèìåíÿåòñÿ ê êîíêðåòíûì âðåìåííûì ðÿäàì, äåëàåòñÿ îöåíêà ïîãðåøíîñòè ïðîãíîçà, èññëåäóåòñÿ çàâèñèìîñòü ïîãðåøíîñòè îò ïàðàìåòðîâ ìåòîäà. Êðîìå òîãî ìåòîä ïðèìåíÿåòñÿ ê èñêóññòâåííîìó âðåìåííîìó ðÿäó, ñîäåðæàùåìó ñëó÷àéíûå âîçìóùåíèÿ. Èññëåäóåòñÿ çàâèñèìîñòü ïîãðåøíîñòè ïðîãíîçà îò âåëè÷èíû âîçìóùåíèÿ. Êëþ÷åâûå ñëîâà: âðåìåííîé ðÿä; ìîäåëü ïîïóëÿöèè; ñïëàéí; ìåòîä íàèìåíüøèõ êâàäðàòîâ.

The content you want is available to Zendy users.

Already have an account? Click here to sign in.

Having issues? You can contact us here

Accelerating Research