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Avoiding Pitfalls in Applying Prediction Models, As Illustrated by the Example of Prostate Cancer Diagnosis
Author(s) -
Henning Cammann,
Klaus Jung,
Hellmuth-A. Meyer,
Carsten Stephan
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
clinical chemistry
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.705
H-Index - 218
eISSN - 1530-8561
pISSN - 0009-9147
DOI - 10.1373/clinchem.2011.166959
Subject(s) - computer science , context (archaeology) , medical diagnosis , prostate cancer , predictive modelling , field (mathematics) , calibration , population , multivariate statistics , risk analysis (engineering) , machine learning , data mining , artificial intelligence , medicine , statistics , cancer , mathematics , pathology , paleontology , environmental health , pure mathematics , biology
The use of different mathematical models to support medical decisions is accompanied by increasing uncertainties when they are applied in practice. Using prostate cancer (PCa) risk models as an example, we recommend requirements for model development and draw attention to possible pitfalls so as to avoid the uncritical use of these models.

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