First estimation of direct H1N1pdm virulenceFrom reported non consolidated data from Mauritius and New Caledonia | Zendy

Antoine Flahault | Zendy

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First estimation of direct H1N1pdm virulenceFrom reported non consolidated data from Mauritius and New Caledonia

Author(s) -

Antoine Flahault

Publication year - 2009

Publication title -

plos currents

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.282

H-Index - 49

ISSN - 2157-3999

DOI - 10.1371/currents.rrn1010

Subject(s) - lethality , ards , estimation , pandemic , h1n1 pandemic , covid-19 , medicine , geography , statistics , biology , engineering , mathematics , toxicology , disease , infectious disease (medical specialty) , systems engineering , lung

We provide rough estimates of direct lethality from ARDS due to H1N1pdm from two independent sources of data, one from New Caledonia where 30,000 infections are assumed to have occured and 3 deaths reported to be attributable directly to the pandemic virus. Another source is Mauritius where 70,000 infections are estimated to have occured, and 7 reported death from ARDS (5 of them are currently confirmed). These surveillance data allows for first estimation of direct lethality due to H1N1pdm to be 1 per 10,000 infections, about 100 times more than regular seasonal influenza.

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