Swine origin influenza A (H1N1) virus and ICU capacity in the USAre we prepared? | Zendy

Marya D. Zilberberg | Zendy; Christian Sandrock | Zendy; Andrew F. Shorr | Zendy

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Swine origin influenza A (H1N1) virus and ICU capacity in the USAre we prepared?

Author(s) -

Marya D. Zilberberg,

Christian Sandrock,

Andrew F. Shorr

Publication year - 2009

Publication title -

plos currents

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.282

H-Index - 49

ISSN - 2157-3999

DOI - 10.1371/currents.rrn1009

Subject(s) - medicine , pandemic , mechanical ventilation , covid-19 , volume (thermodynamics) , virus , mortality rate , h1n1 influenza , influenza pandemic , ventilation (architecture) , emergency medicine , h1n1 pandemic , influenza a virus , intensive care medicine , virology , geography , physics , disease , quantum mechanics , meteorology , outbreak , infectious disease (medical specialty)

We developed a model simulating the potential impact of influenza H1N1 pandemic on the volume of acute respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation (ARF-MV) and the accompanying mortality rate in the US. We calculate that 46 million people will contract the infection, resulting in 2.7 million hospitalizations, 331,587 episodes of ARF-MV and nearly 200,000 deaths, suggesting that the US may require the ability to provide MV at a volume approximately 33% over the current annual use.

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