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Assessment of current test procedures.
Author(s) -
Anthony K. Palmer
Publication year - 1976
Publication title -
environmental health perspectives
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.257
H-Index - 282
eISSN - 1552-9924
pISSN - 0091-6765
DOI - 10.1289/ehp.761897
Subject(s) - predictive value , extrapolation , teratology , value (mathematics) , test (biology) , medicine , screening test , point (geometry) , computer science , psychology , pediatrics , pregnancy , statistics , biology , mathematics , machine learning , gestation , paleontology , geometry , genetics
The belief that screening tests for teratogenicity are of low predictive value has many supporters who point to the inconsistency with which malformations are induced. However, to fault the test systems when such inconsistency is predictable from both the inherently unstable nature of a malformation and from fundamental principles of teratology, is unrealistic, and, as is shown, perhaps the greater faults lie with the critics. It is suggested by examples that, if attention was concentrated not on the inconsistent malformations but on more consistent embryopathic effects which in one form or another are always associated with malformations, the predictive value of the screening tests would appear in a more favorable light. Thus, even if malformations are not demonstrated, the range of conditions (dosages) in which they might occur can be determined. Such information, used in conjunction with that obtained from other preclinical studies, can then form a reasonably sound basis for extrapolation to man.

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