
Technical Note—A Pure Birth Model of Optimal Advertising with Word-of-Mouth
Author(s) -
George E. Monahan
Publication year - 1984
Publication title -
marketing science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 5.938
H-Index - 127
eISSN - 1526-548X
pISSN - 0732-2399
DOI - 10.1287/mksc.3.2.169
Subject(s) - word of mouth , advertising , profit (economics) , markov chain , markov decision process , computer science , markov process , economics , microeconomics , mathematics , business , statistics , machine learning
A stochastic, dynamic model of advertising, which incorporates both advertising and word-of-mouth effects, is formulated. The time between the acquisition of new customers is assumed to be random. The distribution of the time until the firm obtains a new customer depends upon the rate of advertising expenditures and upon a word-of-mouth parameter. The problem of choosing the rate of advertising expenditures so as to maximize long-run expected profit is formulated as a continuous-time Markov decision chain. The impact of changes in various parameters of the model on optimal advertising decisions is studied.optimal advertising, word-of-mouth, Markov decision chain