Teaching Note—Teaching Project Simulation in Excel Using PERT-Beta Distributions
Author(s) -
Ron Davis
Publication year - 2008
Publication title -
informs transactions on education
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.161
H-Index - 3
ISSN - 1532-0545
DOI - 10.1287/ited.1080.0013
Subject(s) - beta distribution , computer science , beta (programming language) , crystal ball , carry (investment) , ball (mathematics) , microsoft excel , operations research , statistics , mathematics , programming language , operating system , physics , mathematical analysis , finance , particle physics , economics
T paper presents the methodology for computing the correct general formulas for the PERT-beta distribution, and how they are used to carry out stochastic project duration simulations using the built-in tools available in Excel. A comparison with results obtained using the Excel add-ins Crystal Ball, @Risk, RiskSolver, and PopTools is included. Slightly different parameterizations are used by each application, so various forms of the formulas are shown for each case.
Accelerating Research
Robert Robinson Avenue,
Oxford Science Park, Oxford
OX4 4GP, United Kingdom
Address
John Eccles HouseRobert Robinson Avenue,
Oxford Science Park, Oxford
OX4 4GP, United Kingdom