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Unemployment Insurance Generosity and Aggregate Employment
Author(s) -
Christopher Boone,
Arindrajit Dubé,
Lucas Goodman,
Ethan Kaplan
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
american economic journal economic policy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 7.868
H-Index - 62
eISSN - 1945-7731
pISSN - 1945-774X
DOI - 10.1257/pol.20160613
Subject(s) - generosity , unemployment , economics , percentage point , aggregate (composite) , great recession , labour economics , rationing , point (geometry) , duration (music) , aggregate demand , recession , population , demographic economics , monetary economics , keynesian economics , macroeconomics , art , philosophy , materials science , mathematics , economic growth , theology , literature , sociology , composite material , health care , geometry , monetary policy , demography , finance
This paper examines the impact of unemployment insurance (UI) on aggregate employment by exploiting cross-state variation in the maximum benefit duration during the Great Recession. Comparing adjacent counties located in neighboring states, there is no statistically significant impact of increasing UI generosity on aggregate employment. Point estimates are uniformly small in magnitude, and the most precise estimates rule out employment-to-population ratio reductions in excess of 0.35 percentage points from the UI extension. The results contrast with the negative effects implied by most micro-level labor supply studies and are consistent with both job rationing and aggregate demand channels. (JEL E24, E32, J22, J23, J65)

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