An Empirical Framework for Large-Scale Policy Analysis, with an Application to School Finance Reform in Michigan
Author(s) -
María Marta Ferreyra
Publication year - 2009
Publication title -
american economic journal economic policy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 7.868
H-Index - 62
eISSN - 1945-7731
pISSN - 1945-774X
DOI - 10.1257/pol.1.1.147
Subject(s) - counterfactual thinking , equity (law) , metropolitan area , demographics , scale (ratio) , economics , revenue , public economics , policy analysis , finance , econometrics , actuarial science , political science , public administration , geography , sociology , philosophy , demography , cartography , archaeology , epistemology , law
In this paper, I develop an empirical framework for the analysis of large-scale policies, and apply it to study the effects of school finance reform on the Detroit metropolitan area. Exploiting school finance reform in Michigan in 1994, I estimate a general equilibrium model of multiple jurisdictions with 1990 data from Detroit, predict the 2000 equilibrium, and compare this prediction with 2000 data to validate the model. I conduct counterfactual simulations using the estimates. According to my analysis, feasible revenue-based reforms that ensure spending equity or adequacy have little impact on school quality or household demographics in Detroit. (JEL H75, I22)
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