Tracking Decision Makers under Uncertainty
Author(s) -
Amos Arieli,
Yaniv Ben-Ami,
Ariel Rubinstein
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
american economic journal microeconomics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 5.339
H-Index - 40
eISSN - 1945-7685
pISSN - 1945-7669
DOI - 10.1257/mic.3.4.68
Subject(s) - deliberation , eye tracking , computer science , interpretation (philosophy) , process (computing) , eye movement , artificial intelligence , tracking (education) , decision process , multiplication (music) , decision theory , machine learning , cognitive psychology , econometrics , psychology , statistics , management science , mathematics , economics , pedagogy , combinatorics , politics , political science , law , programming language , operating system
Eye tracking is used to investigate the procedures that participants employ in choosing between two lotteries. Eye movement patterns in problems where the deliberation process is clearly identified are used to substantiate an interpretation of the results. The data provide little support for the hypothesis that decision makers rely exclusively upon an expected utility type of calculation. Instead eye patterns indicate that decision makers often compare prizes and probabilities separately. This is particularly true when the multiplication of sums and probabilities is laborious to compute. (JEL D81, D87)
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