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Multivariate Stochastic Process Models for Correlated Responses of Mixed Type
Author(s) -
Tony Pourmohamad,
Herbert K. H. Lee
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
bayesian analysis
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.685
H-Index - 58
eISSN - 1936-0975
pISSN - 1931-6690
DOI - 10.1214/15-ba976
Subject(s) - multivariate statistics , computer science , inference , gaussian process , bayesian inference , machine learning , artificial intelligence , data mining , bayesian probability , gaussian , physics , quantum mechanics
We propose a new model for correlated outputs of mixed type, such as continuous and binary outputs, with a particular focus on joint regression and classification, motivated by an application in constrained optimization for com- puter simulation modeling. Our framework is based upon multivariate stochastic processes, extending Gaussian process methodology for modeling of continuous multivariate spatial outputs by adding a latent process structure that allows for joint modeling of a variety of types of correlated outputs. In addition, we imple- ment fully Bayesian inference using particle learning, which allows us to conduct fast sequential inference. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed meth- ods on both synthetic examples and a real world hydrology computer experiment optimization problem where it is helpful to model the black box objective function as correlated with satisfaction of the constraint.

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