Association Between Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D Concentrations and Mortality Among Adults With Prediabetes

Objectives To investigate the association of circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels with mortality among adults with prediabetes. Methods This retrospective cohort study included 15,195 adults with prediabetes (aged ≥20 years) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III and NHANES 2001-2014. Mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer was linked to National Death Index mortality data. Results The median (interquartile range) concentration of serum 25(OH)D was 60.5 (45.3, 77.4) nmol/L, and only 23.1% had sufficient vitamin D (≥75 nmol/L). Elevated serum 25(OH)D concentrations were significantly associated with lower levels of insulin, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, triglyceride, and C-reactive protein, and higher levels of high-density lipoprotein at baseline (all Ptrend < 0.05). During a median follow up of 10.7 years, 3765 deaths (including 1080 CVD deaths and 863 cancer deaths) were identified. Compared with participants with 25(OH)D <30 nmol/L, the multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for participants with 25(OH)D ≥ 75 nmol/L were 0.66 (0.53, 0.82) for all-cause mortality (Ptrend < 0.001), 0.66 (0.48, 0.89) for CVD mortality (Ptrend = 0.001), and 0.82 (0.49, 1.35) for cancer mortality (Ptrend = 0.32). For per-unit increment in ln-transformed 25(OH)D, there was a 27% lower risk of all-cause mortality and a 34% lower risk of CVD mortality (both P < 0.01). Conclusions These findings suggested that higher serum 25(OH)D concentrations were associated with lower all-cause and CVD mortality among individuals with prediabetes.