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Technology Gap and the Role of National Innovation System in a Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Model: Empirical Evidence From Nigeria
Author(s) -
Yohanna Panshak,
İrfan Civcir,
Hüseyin Özdeşer
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
sage open
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.357
H-Index - 32
ISSN - 2158-2440
DOI - 10.1177/2158244019828846
Subject(s) - economics , balance of payments , distributed lag , constraint (computer aided design) , sustainable growth rate , consumption (sociology) , government spending , macroeconomics , balance (ability) , empirical evidence , quality (philosophy) , growth model , balance of trade , government (linguistics) , autoregressive model , econometrics , market economy , welfare , mechanical engineering , medicine , social science , philosophy , linguistics , physical medicine and rehabilitation , finance , epistemology , sociology , engineering
This study empirically seeks to connect more strongly the post-Keynesian macroeconomic idea anchored on the balance of payment (BOP) constraint with the evolutionary microeconomic idea related to the dynamics of technological gap in shaping export quality and long-run growth. It employs autoregressive distributed lag model to examine the validity of Thirlwall’s “Law” on the Nigerian economy from 1981 to 2017. The study found that new version of the model improves significantly in explaining long-run growth of the economy. Therefore, it recommends, among others, a cautious reduction of various components of imports especially final consumption, increasing the export share of commodities with high demand in the international market as well as increasing government spending on R&D to enhance export quality for a sustainable growth of the economy.

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